Result
1:3
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (293/348) | 83% (327/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (293/348) | 83% (327/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Brownhill J. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
- 26', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Arielson (A),
- 45+1', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Sierro V. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Balobaid S. ⚽,
- 63', Arielson ↓, Okita J. ↑,
- 63', Abdullah A. Q. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
- 70', Al Hammami H. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
- 70', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
- 71', Al Hawsawi S. ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
- 81', Sylla M. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
- 85', Adli Y. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
- 90+6', Hamdallah A. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Damac
23.7% | Draw
26.3% | Al-Shabab Riyadh
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.97) |
3.58 ↑
(3.4) |
1.85 ↑
(1.84) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1.
- Damac is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shabab has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Shabab is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Damac has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Damac?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
25.10.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Damac
1:1
28.02.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Damac
2:0
04.10.2024
Damac
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:0
16.02.2024
Damac
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:1
25.08.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Damac
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
