Al-Hilal vs Gwangju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Football AFC Champions League Al-Hilal - Gwangju
Result
7:0
25/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.38
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
90% (485/541)80% (269/336)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.641.11
Total shots
204
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (485/541)80% (269/336)
Long passes
51% (26/51)61% (31/51)
Passes in final third
81% (83/103)63% (49/78)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.20
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
812
Tackles
62% (8/13)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4027
Clearances
1712
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.114.64
Goals prevented
1.11-2.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Al Dawsari S. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Malcom (A),
  • 33', 3 - 0, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Marcos Leonardo (A),
  • 35', Gabriel Tigrao ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
  • 42', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 55', 4 - 0, Mitrovic A. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 62', Lee K. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
  • 62', Cho Sung-Gwon ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,
  • 62', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
  • 68', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
  • 68', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
  • 72', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
  • 79', 5 - 0, Malcom ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
  • 81', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
  • 81', Malcom ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
  • 84', 6 - 0, Al Dawsari N. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
  • 86', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
  • 88', 7 - 0, Al Hamdan A. ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
81.4%		Draw
12%		Gwangju
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 16.9% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1% 17.9% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.
  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Al-Hilal - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.16 ↓
    (1.32)    		 7.9 ↑
    (5.54)    		 14.11 ↑
    (7.62)    		 5.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Gwangju will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 35% – 88%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gwangju is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Al-Hilal is indisputable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    21.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺
    17.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    15.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Gwangju
    19.04.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 1:2 ✺
    16.04.2025 Gwangju - Gyeongju KH&NP 2:0
    13.04.2025 Gangwon - Gwangju 1:0 ✺
    09.04.2025 Gwangju - Daegu 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Gwangju - Jeju 1:0 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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