Result
7:0
25/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
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| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 11 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (485/541) | 80% (269/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.86 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 4.64 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
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| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 90% (485/541) | 80% (269/336) |
| Long passes |
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| 51% (26/51) | 61% (31/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (83/103) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 27 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 4.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | -2.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Al Dawsari S. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Malcom (A),
- 33', 3 - 0, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Marcos Leonardo (A),
- 35', Gabriel Tigrao ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
- 42', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 55', 4 - 0, Mitrovic A. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
- 62', Lee K. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
- 62', Cho Sung-Gwon ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,
- 62', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
- 68', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
- 68', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
- 72', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
- 79', 5 - 0, Malcom ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
- 81', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
- 81', Malcom ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
- 84', 6 - 0, Al Dawsari N. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
- 86', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
- 88', 7 - 0, Al Hamdan A. ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
81.4% | Draw
12% | Gwangju
6.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Al-Hilal - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.32) |
7.9 ↑
(5.54) |
14.11 ↑
(7.62) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Gwangju will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gwangju is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Al-Hilal is indisputable favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Gwangju?
Al-Hilal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Al-Hilal?
Gwangju has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Gwangju were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Gwangju
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
