Al-Hilal vs Gwangju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
7:0
25/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, TOD
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bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
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chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu
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cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
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indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
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mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
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peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesMatchday+
portugalPortugalCanal 11
qatarQatarAl Kass Nine, Shoof
russiaRussiaOkko Sport, TV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving, tvN Sports
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
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usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.38
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
90% (485/541)80% (269/336)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.641.11
Total shots
204
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (485/541)80% (269/336)
Long passes
51% (26/51)61% (31/51)
Passes in final third
81% (83/103)63% (49/78)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.20
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
812
Tackles
62% (8/13)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4027
Clearances
1712
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.114.64
Goals prevented
1.11-2.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Al Dawsari S. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Malcom (A),
  • 33', 3 - 0, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Marcos Leonardo (A),
  • 35', Gabriel Tigrao ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
  • 42', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 55', 4 - 0, Mitrovic A. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 62', Lee K. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
  • 62', Cho Sung-Gwon ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,
  • 62', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
  • 68', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
  • 68', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
  • 72', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
  • 79', 5 - 0, Malcom ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
  • 81', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
  • 81', Malcom ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
  • 84', 6 - 0, Al Dawsari N. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
  • 86', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
  • 88', 7 - 0, Al Hamdan A. ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
81.4%		Draw
12%		Gwangju
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 16.9% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1% 17.9% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.
  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Al-Hilal - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.16 ↓
    (1.32)    		 7.9 ↑
    (5.54)    		 14.11 ↑
    (7.62)    		 5.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Gwangju will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 35% – 88%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Al-Hilal (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Al-Hilal (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gwangju is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Al-Hilal is indisputable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    21.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺
    17.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    15.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Gwangju
    19.04.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 1:2 ✺
    16.04.2025 Gwangju - Gyeongju KH&NP 2:0
    13.04.2025 Gangwon - Gwangju 1:0 ✺
    09.04.2025 Gwangju - Daegu 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Gwangju - Jeju 1:0 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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