Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League
Result
3:1
12/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
australiaAustraliaChannel 10
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
mexicoMexicoFOX One
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah
spainSpainMovistar+ Vamos Bar 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.70
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
31
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Passes
87% (359/412)88% (325/370)
Yellow cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.55
Total shots
89
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1711
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free kicks
117
Passes
87% (359/412)88% (325/370)
Long passes
57% (27/47)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
72% (78/108)76% (84/111)
Crosses
9% (1/11)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw ins
1311
Fouls
711
Tackles
33% (6/18)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4432
Clearances
1410
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.551.71
Goals prevented
-0.45-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Al Dawsari S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 60', Al Aqidi N. 🟥,
  • 63', Angelo ↓, Al Buainain M. ↑,
  • 65', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
  • 72', Simakan M. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
  • 76', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
  • 76', Al Harbi M. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Kanno M. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
  • 83', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
  • 83', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Malcom ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
  • 90+4', Nunez D. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
  • 90+10', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
46.4%		Draw
22.4%		Al-Nassr Riyadh
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.8% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 24.6% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
    •

    Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.45)    		 4.07 ↑
    (3.55)    		 2.95 ↑
    (2.49)    		 8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 66.2% – 91%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Nassr (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Al-Hilal (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Al-Hilal (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Al-Hilal (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Al-Hilal (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Al-Hilal (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Hilal will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 28 - 80%). Al-Nassr (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 2.
    • Al-Hilal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Nassr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3
    01.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    17.08.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:4
    31.05.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    17.05.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    08.01.2026 Al-Hilal - Al Hazem 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Damac - Al-Hilal 0:2 ✺
    31.12.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Hilal 1:3 ✺
    26.12.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:2 ✺
    22.12.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Hilal 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    08.01.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 1:2 ✺
    02.01.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺
    30.12.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0 ✺
    24.12.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Zawraa 5:1 ✺
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 30261381:216079
    2Al Hilal29218076:255171
    3Al Ahli SC29206355:223366
    4Al Qadsiah30198371:314065
    5Al Taawon30147952:401249
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC301171238:42-440
    9Al Hazem301081234:50-1638
    10Al Fayha30981336:46-1035
    11Al Khaleej29971349:48134
    12Al Shabab297111137:43-632
    13Al Fateh29881336:49-1332
    14Al Kholood30931839:58-1930
    15Damac305111427:47-2026
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood30442224:64-4016
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
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