Result
2:2
19/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Referee: Omar A. M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (361/450) | 81% (428/528) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (361/450) | 81% (428/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (44/80) | 51% (42/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (79/123) | 62% (74/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Ashraf M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Wahid Y. 🟨,
- 29', Body 🟨,
- 37', Body ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 40', 1 - 2, Wahid Y. ⚽, Afsha (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wahid Y. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
- 52', Gamal A. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
- 60', Cooper I. 🟨,
- 69', Ebuka J. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 69', Magdi A. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Hamdi M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Abdelhakim I. 🟨,
- 85', Tony M. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
- 90+1', Magli M. ↓, El Deghemy M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Haras El-Hodood
17.2% | Draw
30% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haras El-Hodood's form might have worsened.Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ittihad Alexandria's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haras El-Hodood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.44 ↑
(4.02) |
3.12 ↑
(2.73) |
1.77 ↓
(2.13) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1.
- Haras El-Hodood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Ittihad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ittihad is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Haras El-Hodood has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Haras El-Hodood?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
30.01.2026
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
2:0
17.01.2026
Haras El-Hodood
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
23.03.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
0:1
07.11.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
1:0
01.07.2023
Haras El-Hodood
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:2
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | ZED | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 31 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 22 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 18 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
