Result
1:2
27/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 74% (276/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 74% (276/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (41/87) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/93) | 51% (71/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Diasty M. ⚽, Abdelrahim M. (A),
- 33', Saleh A. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 33', Body ↓, Naser N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Boli F. 🟨,
- 51', Teka S. 🟨,
- 62', Abdelrahim M. ↓, El Bahnasi I. ↑,
- 62', Boli F. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
- 63', Isaac S. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Samir I. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
- 69', Farid F. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
- 70', Abdelaati M. 🟨,
- 71', Abdelaati M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 80', Reda A. ↓, Hussein A. ↑,
- 81', Adly O. ↓, El Shimi A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Zizo ⚽,
- 84', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
- 89', Hossam A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Adel I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ibrahim M. 🟥,
- 90+7', Zizo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
24.7% | Draw
35% | Wadi Degla
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Wadi Degla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(3.51) |
2.67 ↑
(2.55) |
2.32 ↓
(2.49) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Wadi Degla?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Wadi Degla will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wadi Degla: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 1.
- Al-Ittihad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Wadi Degla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wadi Degla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Wadi Degla?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Wadi Degla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Wadi Degla were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
