Result
4:1
19/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 8 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, beIN Connect |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, SPOTV, VTV Prime |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (283/351) | 75% (206/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.29 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (283/351) | 75% (206/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (91/139) | 63% (31/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 4.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Felippe Cardoso 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Lazaro ⚽, Tijanic D. (A),
- 37', Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Atangana V. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 51', Boutobba B. 🟨,
- 58', Felippe Cardoso 🟨,
- 67', Abu Al Shamat S. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 72', Guga ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 72', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
- 77', Dunga N. ↓, Al Hawsawi N. ↑,
- 77', Al Subaie K. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 83', Galeno ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Matheus Goncalves (A),
- 90', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 90', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 90', Al Hawsawi A. ↓, Al Essa S. ↑,
- 90+3', Victor Braga 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
85.8% | Draw
8.9% | Al-Najma
5.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.08 ↓
(1.12) |
10.45 ↑
(7.91) |
17.66 ↑
(15.57) |
7.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Al-Ahli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Najma?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma were as follows:
23.10.2025
Al-Najma
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
