Result
2:2
29/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (196/261) | 86% (388/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (196/261) | 86% (388/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 38% (14/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 79% (118/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Al Shehri S. ⚽,
- 29', Vargas M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Fernandes J. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 73', Wesley Delgado ↓, Bendebka S. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Batna M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Al Swealem A. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Al Shehri S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Diaby M. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 88', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
- 90+2', Doumbia M. ↓, Sharahili A. ↑,
- 90+7', Roger ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
- 90+7', Masoud N. ↓, Al Anazi A. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Vargas M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
19.1% | Draw
22.4% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↓
(6.41) |
4.21 ↓
(4.81) |
1.59 ↑
(1.41) |
7.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Al Fateh (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Al-Ittihad (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Al Fateh (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Ittihad (votes: 6 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Ittihad is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:48. (average 1.5:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al Fateh has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al Fateh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
12.09.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al Fateh
4:2
17.04.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:0
24.11.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al Fateh
2:0
16.03.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:4
21.09.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al Fateh
2:1
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
