Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.40
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
92% (532/579)80% (236/296)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.98
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
911
Passes
92% (532/579)80% (236/296)
Long passes
64% (23/36)24% (9/38)
Passes in final third
84% (145/172)66% (58/88)
Crosses
15% (4/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.30
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
119
Tackles
44% (8/18)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
1728
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.980.12
Goals prevented
-0.020.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Al Julaydan A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Ezatolahi S. , Cartabia F. (A),
  • 45+2', Gomes I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Al Julaydan A. , Roger ,
  • 65', Yuri Cesar , Azmoun S. ,
  • 76', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 77', Cartabia F. , Al Ghassani Y. ,
  • 77', Ezatolahi S. , Breno ,
  • 79', Simic J. , Al Ghamdi A. ,
  • 80', Breno 🟨,
  • 81', Roger 🟨,
  • 83', Adil S. , Dabbur M. ,
  • 83', Mateus Henrique , Rikelme ,
  • 86', Mitaj M. , Al Shehri S. ,
  • 86', Bergwijn S. , Fagihy M. ,
  • 87', Guilherme 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4dxck2es

Chances of winning


Al-Ittihad Jeddah
56.2%
Draw
22.8%
Shabab Al-Ahli
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.5% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.5% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.64)
    4.13
    (4.2)
    4.5
    (4.8)
    6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Al-Ittihad (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Al-Ittihad (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 6 - 60%). Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Ittihad is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    25.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:1
    20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1
    11.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Bani Yas 1:0
    23.08.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)
    3Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)
    4Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    8Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1