Al Ain vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
10/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.931.46
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
66
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
85
Passes
75% (192/256)79% (260/328)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.931.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.49
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
74
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
711
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1215
Passes
75% (192/256)79% (260/328)
Long passes
45% (21/47)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
67% (48/72)61% (60/98)
Crosses
44% (8/18)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.91
Throw ins
2022
Fouls
1512
Tackles
100% (9/9)43% (3/7)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.491.40
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Niang A. 🟨,
  • 30', Laba K. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Rabia R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Yuri Cesar , Guilherme (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Laba K. ,
  • 65', Cartabia F. , Al Mansouri M. ,
  • 65', Garcia D. , Kaiky ,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Yuri Cesar ,
  • 69', Planic B. 🟨,
  • 70', Niang A. , Erik Menezes ,
  • 70', Kaku , Jasic A. ,
  • 70', Rodrigues R. , Al Baloushi M. ,
  • 72', Rikelme , Gomes I. ,
  • 78', Laba K. , Rahimi E. H. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Rahimi E. H. , Erik Menezes (A),
  • 89', Breno , Adil S. ,
  • 90+1', Jasic A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kaiky 🟨,
  • 90+7', Rahimi S. , Sut A. ,

Chances of winning


Al Ain
36.4%
Draw
29.7%
Shabab Al-Ahli
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 31.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 32.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.73)
    3.12
    (2.96)
    2.74
    (2.68)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 2.
    • Al Ain is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shabab Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
    25.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:1
    07.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:0
    10.01.2025 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1
    27.04.2024 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2
    26.11.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:3
    Latest results of Al Ain
    05.04.2026 Al Ain - Ajman Club 2:0
    22.03.2026 United FC - Al Ain 0:2
    17.03.2026 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 0:1
    12.03.2026 Al Ain - Al Wasl 2:0
    27.02.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al Ain 2:3
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain22175046:182856
    2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai22164252:114152
    3Al Jazira22124638:231540
    4Al Wasl22106628:23536
    5Al Wahda2299433:211236
    6Al Nasr22710528:27131
    7Al Sharjah22741132:39-725
    8Ajman22731221:31-1024
    9Khorfakkan22661030:38-824
    10Ittihad Kalba2258926:39-1323
    11Bani Yas22641222:34-1222
    12Al Bataeh22471122:32-1019
    13Al Dhafra22531425:44-1918
    14Dibba Al Fujairah22451321:44-2317

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Division 1