Al Jubail vs Al-Arabi Al-Saudi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/01/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Nayef Sports City (Qatif).

Division 1 - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.27
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
77% (300/390)	76% (282/372)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.03
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
12	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	15
Passes
77% (300/390)	76% (282/372)
Long passes
39% (23/59)	33% (25/75)
Passes in final third
60% (61/102)	59% (67/113)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.29
Throw-ins
23	23
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
59% (10/17)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
44	39
Clearances
27	19
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.03	1.13
Goals prevented
0.03	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Abed A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Dias R. ⚽, Fati E. (A),
34', Udo S. 🟨,
45+1', Lahlali Z. ↓, Al Mahmoudi M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sheldon ↓, Al Masoudi A. ↑,
57', Al Shammari M. ↓, Al Jubaya A. ↑,
59', Waheeb W. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
65', Vinicius Araujo 🟥,
69', Fati E. ↓, Al Omari A. ↑,
74', Al Omari A. 🟨,
78', Daqarshawi A. ↓, Ciss A. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Fajr F. ⚽,
87', Al Zaqan A. ↓, Al Wahabi S. ↑,
88', Acosta N. ↓, Al Salem M. ↑,
89', Al Wahabi S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al Jubail
28.4%

Draw
28.1%

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Jubail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.72)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	2.08 ↓ (2.36)	10.4% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Jubail will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Arabi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Al Jubail is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Arabi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Jubail won against Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?

Al Jubail has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Al-Saudi won against Al Jubail?

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi were as follows:

18.02.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jubail 3:1

29.09.2024 Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 3:1

Latest results of Al Jubail

31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2 ✺

25.12.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0 ✺

12.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al Jubail 1:0 ✺

28.11.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi

30.12.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Wahda Mecca 0:1 ✺

24.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Batin 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Al-Zulfi - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 5:1 ✺

Saudi Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Abha	28	22	5	1	59:22	37	71
2	Al Diriyah	28	19	5	4	68:28	40	62
3	Al-Ula	28	16	7	5	60:28	32	55
4	Al-Faisaly	28	14	10	4	56:33	23	52
5	Al Orubah	28	15	5	8	44:35	9	50
6	Al Jabalain	28	14	7	7	49:34	15	49
7	Al Raed	28	12	9	7	52:37	15	45
8	Al Zulfi	28	10	9	9	38:35	3	39
9	Al Taee	28	10	8	10	41:39	2	38
10	Al Bukiryah	28	11	4	13	30:40	-10	37
11	Al Anwar	28	8	11	9	42:41	1	35
12	Jeddah	28	8	10	10	30:39	-9	34
13	Al Wehda	28	9	6	13	42:51	-9	33
14	Al Jandal	28	7	8	13	26:48	-22	29
15	Al Adalah	28	3	9	16	34:63	-29	18
16	Al Arabi	28	4	4	20	14:51	-37	16
17	Al Batin	28	3	6	19	29:57	-28	15
18	Al Jubail	28	3	5	20	24:57	-33	14

      Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
      Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation