Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Zayad H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Al-Karkh
36.6% | Draw
34% | Arbil
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Karkh's performance.Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arbil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Karkh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arbil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Karkh - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.88) |
2.67 ↓
(2.96) |
3.09 ↑
(2.38) |
10.2%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1.
- Al-Karkh is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arbil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karkh won against Arbil?
Al-Karkh has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Karkh?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Karkh - Arbil were as follows:
29.06.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Karkh
1:3
19.01.2025
Al-Karkh
-
Arbil
2:4
08.05.2024
Al-Karkh
-
Arbil
0:0
28.03.2024
Arbil
-
Al-Karkh
0:0
25.06.2023
Arbil
-
Al-Karkh
0:0
Latest results of Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27:10 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Al Zawraa | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
