Result
2:3
27/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 63', 0 - 2, Barco C. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 2, Abdulzahra A. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 3, Temirov S. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, Msuva S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Talaba 33.6% | Draw 30.3% | Arbil 36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Talaba's form might have worsened.Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arbil's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Talaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arbil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Talaba - Arbil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.31) |
2.98 ↓ (3.09) |
2.49 ↓ (2.98) |
10.9% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al-Talaba - Arbil?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Al-Talaba will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arbil will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Al-Talaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Talaba won against Arbil?
Al-Talaba has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Talaba?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Talaba - Arbil were as follows:
23.01.2026
Arbil
-
Al-Talaba
0:2
20.05.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Talaba
1:0
15.01.2025
Al-Talaba
-
Arbil
2:1
14.06.2024
Arbil
-
Al-Talaba
0:0
01.12.2023
Al-Talaba
-
Arbil
1:0
Latest results of Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation