Result
1:2
16/05/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.60 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (267/332) | 88% (441/504) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.60 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.24 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
80% (267/332) | 88% (441/504) |
Long passes |
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56% (33/59) | 62% (26/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (54/82) | 81% (126/156) |
Crosses |
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38% (9/24) | 21% (6/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.24 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
52% (16/31) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.03 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.97 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Kandouss I. ⚽, Tello C. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Fortounis K. (Pen),
- 45+1', Al Khalaf O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Al Maqati H. 🟨,
- 53', Al Hamsal S. 🟨,
- 56', Al Shuwaish H. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 56', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
- 69', Aboulshamat S. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 69', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Fortounis K. ⚽, Rebocho P. (A),
- 83', Tello C. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
- 86', Murg T. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 87', Fortounis K. 🟨,
- 90', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fortounis K. ↓, Seye B. ↑,
- 90+5', Kourbelis D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Al Terais F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Ozaybi R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Orobah 42.5% | Draw 26.3% | Al-Khaleej 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Orobah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Orobah's performance.Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Khaleej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Orobah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Khaleej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.75) |
3.55 ↓ (3.6) |
3 ↑ (2.23) |
7% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Orobah (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Orobah will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2.
- Al-Orobah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Khaleej is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Khaleej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Orobah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Khaleej?
Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al-Orobah?
Al-Khaleej has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej were as follows:
17.01.2025
Al-Khaleej
-
Al-Orobah
3:0
Latest results of Al-Orobah
Latest results of Al-Khaleej
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1