Al-Riyadh vs Al-Orobah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	2.44
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	7
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (460/517)	76% (223/293)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	2.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	4.29
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
27	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
89% (460/517)	76% (223/293)
Long passes
55% (23/42)	55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
75% (106/141)	61% (37/61)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	1.95
Throw-ins
13	19
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
41	41
Clearances
12	28
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
4.29	1.92
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Abu Taha M. (A),
42', Al Qarni M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Haji T. ⚽,
45+3', Abu Taha M. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Mensah B. ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Khalaf O. ↑,
46', Al Qarni M. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi I. (A),
59', Haji T. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
68', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
69', Muhar K. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
69', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Tambakti M. H. ↑,
70', Barbet Y. 🟨,
76', Abu Taha M. ↓, Al Shuwaish H. ↑,
81', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Gudmundsson J. ⚽, Al Shuwaish H. (A),
87', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
88', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi F. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Riyadh
50.2%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Orobah
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.86)	3.61 ↓ (3.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	7.2% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al-Riyadh (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Riyadh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Recent form of Al-Riyadh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Orobah has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
Al-Riyadh could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
In this match, Al-Riyadh is a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
Including matches at home between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Orobah?

Al-Riyadh has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Riyadh?

Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah were as follows:

06.12.2024 Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh 0:1

16.05.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah 1:0

03.01.2023 Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh 0:1

Latest results of Al-Riyadh

23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Damac 0:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Orobah

24.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Feiha 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Raed 0:4 ✺

10.04.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Orobah 2:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Orobah 6:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr ✔	30	26	1	3	81:21	60	79
2	Al Hilal	30	22	8	0	79:25	54	74
3	Al Ahli SC	29	20	6	3	55:22	33	66
4	Al Qadsiah	30	19	8	3	71:31	40	65
5	Al Taawon	30	14	7	9	52:40	12	49
6	Al Ittihad	29	14	6	9	47:38	9	48
7	Al Ettifaq	30	13	6	11	44:51	-7	45
8	Neom SC	31	11	8	12	40:44	-4	41
9	Al Hazem	31	10	8	13	34:53	-19	38
10	Al Khaleej	30	10	7	13	51:48	3	37
11	Al Fayha	30	9	8	13	36:46	-10	35
12	Al Fateh	30	8	9	13	38:51	-13	33
13	Al Shabab	29	7	11	11	37:43	-6	32
14	Al Kholood	30	9	3	18	39:58	-19	30
15	Damac	31	5	11	15	27:49	-22	26
16	Al Riyadh	30	5	8	17	30:58	-28	23
17	Al Okhdood	30	4	4	22	24:64	-40	16
18	Al Najma ✔	30	2	5	23	29:72	-43	11

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1