Result
1:2
16/05/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (267/332) | 88% (441/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (267/332) | 88% (441/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 62% (26/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (54/82) | 81% (126/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Kandouss I. ⚽, Tello C. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Fortounis K. (Pen),
- 45+1', Al Khalaf O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Al Maqati H. 🟨,
- 53', Al Hamsal S. 🟨,
- 56', Al Shuwaish H. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 56', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
- 69', Aboulshamat S. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 69', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Fortounis K. ⚽, Rebocho P. (A),
- 83', Tello C. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
- 86', Murg T. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 87', Fortounis K. 🟨,
- 90', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fortounis K. ↓, Seye B. ↑,
- 90+5', Kourbelis D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Al Terais F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Ozaybi R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Orobah
42.5% | Draw
26.3% | Al-Khaleej
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Orobah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Orobah's performance.Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Khaleej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Orobah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Khaleej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.75) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
3 ↑
(2.23) |
7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Orobah (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Orobah will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2.
- Al-Orobah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Khaleej is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Khaleej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Orobah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Khaleej?
Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al-Orobah?
Al-Khaleej has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej were as follows:
17.01.2025
Al-Khaleej
-
Al-Orobah
3:0
Latest results of Al-Orobah
Latest results of Al-Khaleej
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 31 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 81:26 | 55 | 77 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 46 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 31 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32:62 | -30 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 31 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
