Al-Kholood vs Al-Najma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi King Cup Al-Kholood - Al-Najma
Result
1:0 ET
27/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • King Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.69
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
142
Passes
84% (418/497)84% (461/550)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.81
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
142
Touches in opposition box
3123
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
716
Passes
84% (418/497)84% (461/550)
Long passes
55% (27/49)44% (37/84)
Passes in final third
73% (118/161)63% (64/102)
Crosses
31% (9/29)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.89
Throw-ins
1928
Fouls
167
Tackles
70% (16/23)84% (16/19)
Duels won
6650
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.811.85
Goals prevented
0.810.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Buckley J. 🟨,
  • 45', Al Abdulraziq F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Al Mutairi F. , Al Hawsawi A. ,
  • 46', Al Abdulraziq F. , Boutobba B. ,
  • 67', Bahebri H. , Al Aliwa A. S. ,
  • 75', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
  • 76', Al Dawsari A. , Sawan M. ,
  • 80', Lazaro , Jasim A. ,
  • 82', Quioto R. 🟨,
  • 82', Flores D. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 99', 1 - 0, Enrique R. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Kholood
46.9%
Draw
27.8%
Al-Najma
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 32.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 32.3% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Al-Kholood - Al-Najma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.06)
    3.3
    (2.82)
    3.62
    (4.08)
    9.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Kholood - Al-Najma?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Kholood will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Kholood is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al-Najma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Al-Najma has had a series of home games.
    • Al-Kholood could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Al-Kholood will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Kholood - Al-Najma were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 5:1
    31.01.2024 Al-Najma - Al-Kholood 0:1
    20.08.2023 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Kholood
    23.10.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood 1:0
    17.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 5:1
    22.09.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Kholood 1:2
    18.09.2025 Al-Kholood - Damac 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Najma
    23.10.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    17.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 5:1
    27.09.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Feiha 1:2
    23.09.2025 Al-Najma - Damac 2:1