Result
1:3
25/01/2026 at 10:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 89% (587/662) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (278/355) | 89% (587/662) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 56% (14/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (55/90) | 76% (149/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Flores D. (Own goal),
- 11', Al Hawsawi N. 🟨,
- 22', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Samir Caetano ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 46', Al Salem A. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Al Tulayhi R. ⚽, Al Harabi A. (A),
- 62', 1 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
- 73', 1 - 3, Retegui M. ⚽,
- 81', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
- 81', Quinones J. ↓, Asiri H. ↑,
- 85', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 85', Jasim A. ↓, Al Abdulraziq F. ↑,
- 90+2', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
- 90+2', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Al Nakhli A. ↑,
- 90+2', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Lajami Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
9.6% | Draw
15% | Al-Qadisiya
75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.96 ↑
(9.4) |
6.33 ↑
(5.38) |
1.24 ↓
(1.26) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75, 1st Half - Al-Qadisiya (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +2 - Al-Najma (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1 - Al-Qadisiya (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
- Al-Najma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Najma?
Al-Qadisiya has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
30.08.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Najma
3:1
13.05.2024
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Najma
4:2
25.12.2023
Al-Najma
-
Al-Qadisiya
0:3
Latest results of Al-Najma
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
