Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/342) | 83% (414/496) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/342) | 83% (414/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (60/87) | 76% (134/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Felippe Cardoso ⚽, Lazaro (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Asmari H. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Boutobba B. ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
- 65', Dunga N. ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 66', Sawan M. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
- 68', N'Doram K. 🟨,
- 73', N'Doram K. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
- 81', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
- 81', Tijanic D. ↓, Al Shammari K. ↑,
- 82', Cozzani J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Enrique R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Lazaro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
30.1% | Draw
26.6% | Al-Kholood
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Al-Najma - Al-Kholood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.87) |
3.51 ↑
(3.37) |
2.16 ↓
(2.25) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).
- Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Kholood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Kholood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Kholood?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Kholood won against Al-Najma?
Al-Kholood has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al-Kholood were as follows:
27.10.2025
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Najma
1:0
17.10.2025
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Najma
5:1
31.01.2024
Al-Najma
-
Al-Kholood
0:1
20.08.2023
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Najma
2:2
Latest results of Al-Najma
Latest results of Al-Kholood
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
