Result
3:2
28/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (198/282) | 80% (362/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (198/282) | 80% (362/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 67% (60/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', Karim Nedved 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Issa I. ⚽,
- 35', El Solia A. ↓, Abdallah M. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Bambo K. ⚽, Sharaf A. (A),
- 45+7', 2 - 1, Temine M. ⚽, Hamada M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Karim Nedved ↓, Belhadji A. ↑,
- 46', Hamada M. ↓, Sawafta A. ↑,
- 46', Amr K. ↓, Kouablan F. M. ↑,
- 46', Lakay F. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 58', Abdallah M. 🟨,
- 64', Belhadji A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', 3 - 1, Ali H. ⚽, Sawafta A. (A),
- 69', Ali H. 🟨,
- 78', Sharaf A. ↓, El Armouty A. ↑,
- 78', El Saaiy O. ↓, El Aash M. ↑,
- 78', Awujoola S. ↓, Mukka A. ↑,
- 85', Bambo K. ↓, El Shami M. ↑,
- 89', Temine M. ↓, Zemraoui O. ↑,
- 90', Sobhi K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Kouablan F. M. ⚽, Belhadji A. (A),
- 90+9', Sawafta A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Masry
30.9% | Draw
30.4% | Ceramica Cleopatra
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Masry's form might have worsened.Ceramica Cleopatra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceramica Cleopatra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Masry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceramica Cleopatra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.37) |
3.09
(3.09) |
2.42 ↓
(3.02) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceramica Cleopatra: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ceramica Cleopatra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al Masry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.7:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Ceramica Cleopatra?
Al Masry has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceramica Cleopatra won against Al Masry?
Ceramica Cleopatra has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra were as follows:
17.05.2025
Al Masry
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
0:4
05.04.2025
Al Masry
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
1:1
31.12.2024
Ceramica Cleopatra
-
Al Masry
1:1
23.06.2024
Al Masry
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
0:2
14.04.2024
Ceramica Cleopatra
-
Al Masry
1:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Latest results of Ceramica Cleopatra
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | ZED | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 21 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Pharco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 12 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
