Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/398) | 73% (211/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/398) | 73% (211/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 43% (30/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (71/114) | 54% (50/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mohsen S. ⚽,
- 9', Eid A. 🟨,
- 43', Ali H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Shousha A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Mohsen S. (Pen),
- 62', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
- 62', Bolbol M. ↓, Mayhoub E. ↑,
- 63', Makhlouf M. 🟨,
- 70', Temine M. ↓, Bambo K. ↑,
- 71', El Saaiy O. ↓, Hamada M. ↑,
- 80', Tharwat E. 🟨,
- 80', Eid A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
- 80', Deghmoum A. ↓, Faisal H. ↑,
- 83', Grendo M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 83', El Mohamady B. ↓, Mansour A. ↑,
- 84', Shousha A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Amoory A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 90+3', Toure M. ↓, El Hakim A. H. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Hamada M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Masry
64.8% | Draw
22.5% | Ghazl El Mahalla
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Masry's performance.Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.57) |
4.28 ↑
(3.5) |
7.57 ↑
(6.59) |
3.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Al Masry is the clear favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Al Masry has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Al Masry?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
17.04.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al Masry
0:0
18.02.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al Masry
1:0
07.06.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al Masry
1:1
20.01.2023
Al Masry
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | ZED | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Smouha | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Enppi | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | El Gouna | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arab Contractors | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 18 | Pharco | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 14 |
| 19 | El Gaish | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10:24 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
