Result
1:1
28/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 7
- Referee: Gamal A. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (209/305) | 70% (241/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (209/305) | 70% (241/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 38% (29/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (55/107) | 55% (62/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Bolbol M. 🟨,
- 26', Salim M. 🟨,
- 30', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mwanga J. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Ojera J. ⚽, Salim M. (A),
- 60', Arfaoui R. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
- 61', Bolbol M. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
- 71', Naguib S. ↓, Adel M. ↑,
- 71', Salim M. ↓, Hawash A. ↑,
- 71', Amoory A. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
- 79', Faisal H. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
- 85', Adel M. 🟨,
- 86', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
- 88', Ojera J. ↓, Antar M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Salah M. ⚽, Shousha A. (A),
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
43.1% | Draw
36.6% | Ghazl El Mahalla
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Mokawloon El Arab, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.04) |
2.56 ↓
(2.71) |
4.61 ↑
(4.59) |
6.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 2.
- Recent performances by El Mokawloon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ghazl El Mahalla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, El Mokawloon is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
05.01.2026
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
13.09.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:1
10.02.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:3
20.10.2022
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
1:1
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | ZED | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 31 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 22 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 18 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
