Al-Merreikh vs Gicumbi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Al-Merreikh
51%
Draw
29.2%
Gicumbi
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 28.1% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.3% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Al-Merreikh - Gicumbi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.77)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    4.56
    (4.47)
    10.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Al-Merreikh has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Gicumbi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Merreikh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Merreikh is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Al-Merreikh will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Al-Merreikh
    17.12.2025 Etincelles - Al-Merreikh 1:2
    14.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Amagaju 1:0
    10.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Marines 1:0
    07.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Kigali 2:1
    03.12.2025 Rutsiro - Al-Merreikh 0:1
    Latest results of Gicumbi
    18.12.2025 Gicumbi - Marines 1:0
    29.11.2025 Gicumbi - Rayon Sports 1:1
    22.11.2025 Police - Gicumbi 2:1
    08.11.2025 Musanze - Gicumbi 3:2
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman21143450:163445
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    12Gicumbi23671026:38-1225
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

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