Result
3:2
13/03/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Abdulrahim M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 74', 2 - 1, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 2 - 2, Ali M. ⚽,
- 90+17', 3 - 2, Temirov S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arbil
47.5% | Draw
30% | Al-Minaa
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Al-Minaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Arbil - Al-Minaa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.87) |
3.01 ↓
(3.2) |
4.02 ↓
(4.4) |
10.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arbil - Al-Minaa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arbil (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 14).
- Arbil is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Minaa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Minaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arbil is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Minaa?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Minaa won against Arbil?
Al-Minaa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Al-Minaa were as follows:
20.09.2025
Al-Minaa
-
Arbil
1:3
07.03.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Minaa
0:1
05.12.2024
Al-Minaa
-
Arbil
3:0
Latest results of Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Erbil | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33:18 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
