Newroz vs Al-Minaa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
13/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqIraqia Kurdish

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Ridha Jalil M. ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Hussein M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 80', 3 - 0, Hussein M. ,
  • 83', 4 - 0, Claudio Maradona ,
  • 90+1', Radhi M. 🟥,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Jafar K. ,

Chances of winning


Newroz
50.9%
Draw
29.2%
Al-Minaa
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 30.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 28.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newroz's performance.
  • Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Minaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newroz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Minaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newroz - Al-Minaa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.12)
    3.07
    (2.96)
    4.49
    (3.36)
    11.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Newroz - Al-Minaa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Newroz (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newroz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).
    • Newroz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Minaa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Newroz has had a series of home games.
    • Newroz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Newroz will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Newroz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Al-Minaa were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Al-Minaa - Newroz 1:1
    02.04.2025 Newroz - Al-Minaa 1:0
    04.02.2025 Al-Minaa - Newroz 1:5
    25.04.2024 Al-Minaa - Newroz 1:4
    Latest results of Newroz
    08.04.2026 Newroz - Al-Karkh 0:0
    04.04.2026 Diyala - Newroz 1:1
    31.03.2026 Newroz - Naft Maysan 2:0
    25.03.2026 Newroz - Al-Gharraf 2:1
    19.03.2026 Newroz - Al-Qasim 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Minaa
    09.04.2026 Al-Kahraba - Al-Minaa 2:0
    05.04.2026 Al-Minaa - Naft Maysan 0:1
    30.03.2026 Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa 1:0
    25.03.2026 Al-Minaa - Duhok 1:1
    18.03.2026 Al-Minaa - Diyala 1:1
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya32228251:203174
    2Al Shorta32207561:303167
    3Erbil32199446:262066
    4Al Talaba32187747:301761
    5Al Zawraa321514345:271859
    6Al-Karma321411744:242053
    7Zakho31149840:301051
    8Al Karkh321310938:32649
    9Newroz321451342:38447
    10Diyala321191236:34242
    11Duhok321191235:36-142
    12Al Mosul3210111136:40-441
    13Al Naft329121128:28039
    14Al Gharraf321081433:35-238
    15Baghdad32961739:57-1833
    16Al Minaa31881530:38-832
    17Naft Missan31791534:49-1530
    18Al Kahraba31832035:47-1227
    19Al Najaf30432322:54-3215
    20Al-Qassim32042813:80-674

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