Al-Nasr vs Al Ain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/05/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

UAE League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Dubai Sports 1, Maraya
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	2.05
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
86% (332/387)	91% (493/541)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	2.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	2.35
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
17	34
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
86% (332/387)	91% (493/541)
Long passes
59% (24/41)	64% (23/36)
Passes in final third
78% (81/104)	83% (155/186)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	1.22
Throw-ins
14	13
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
45% (5/11)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
33	33
Clearances
18	17
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.35	0.52
Goals prevented
-0.10	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Laba K. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Kaku ⚽, Abbas M. (A),
42', Jshak A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gning M. B. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
46', Ahmed N. ↓, Abdullah S. ↑,
58', Salomoni F. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
58', Nader Y. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
59', Boussaid O. ↓, Amzar C. ↑,
79', Kaku ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
84', Jshak A. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
84', Ampofo E. ↓, Osama Z. ↑,
87', Laba K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
87', Abbas M. ↓, Niang A. ↑,
90+1', Omer R. 🟨,
90+2', Sanabria M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
25%

Draw
22%

Al Ain
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

23.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

22.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nasr's form might have worsened.

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Ain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Ain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Nasr - Al Ain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.73)	4.3 ↑ (3.95)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)	5.5% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Al Ain?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al Ain will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ain: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ain (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 5)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Al Ain?

Al-Nasr has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ain won against Al-Nasr?

Al Ain has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Al Ain were as follows:

21.01.2025 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 4:1

07.04.2024 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 1:3

12.12.2023 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 1:2

19.10.2023 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 0:2

08.10.2023 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 1:0

Latest results of Al-Nasr

19.05.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr 2:3 ✺

13.05.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 3:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al-Nasr 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al Ain

19.05.2025 Al Ain - Ajman Club 0:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al Ain 0:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Al Ain - Al-Jazira 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Bani Yas - Al Ain 0:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Al Ain - Al Urooba 3:0 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Sharjah	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Al Ain	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
4	Al Nasr	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
5	Al Jazira	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Al Wahda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Ajman	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Khorfakkan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Al Wasl	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bani Yas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Al Bataeh	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Ittihad Kalba	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
14	Al Dhafra	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

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