Al Ain vs Al-Wahda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
01/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1, Dubai Sports 1, Maraya, Sharjah Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.470.26
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
41
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
72
Passes
88% (435/492)76% (200/262)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.470.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.01
Total shots
195
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
124
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
304
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1612
Passes
88% (435/492)76% (200/262)
Long passes
67% (30/45)45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
76% (104/136)68% (39/57)
Crosses
42% (13/31)50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.34
Throw ins
2318
Fouls
1216
Tackles
83% (10/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
625
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.010.69
Goals prevented
0.010.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Caio Canedo , Ghorbani M. ,
  • 64', Ghorbani M. 🟨,
  • 71', Kruspzky F. , Benteke C. ,
  • 71', Burghash M. , Guga ,
  • 74', Jasic A. , Abbas M. ,
  • 74', Rodrigues R. , Erik Menezes ,
  • 77', Jadsom 🟨,
  • 82', Guga 🟨,
  • 83', Laba K. , Rahimi E. H. ,
  • 90+4', Ben Khaleq Y. , Sut A. ,
  • 90+5', Jadsom , Alvarez G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Rahimi S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Benteke C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Palacios M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Alvarez G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Rabia R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Tadic D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Rahimi E. H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Khribin O. M. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Al Ain
54.4%
Draw
27.7%
Al-Wahda
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.8% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 26.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ain's performance.
  • Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Wahda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Wahda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al Ain - Al-Wahda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.93)
    3.38
    (3.3)
    5.22
    (3.68)
    6.9%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al Ain - Al-Wahda?
  • Users Predictions: Al Ain will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 2.
    • Al Ain has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Wahda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Al Ain is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Al Ain will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ain - Al-Wahda were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 0:1
    17.01.2026 Al Ain - Al-Wahda 2:2
    27.02.2025 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 2:1
    06.10.2024 Al Ain - Al-Wahda 1:2
    20.05.2024 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 0:2
    Latest results of Al Ain
    23.04.2026 Al Bataeh - Al Ain 0:2
    10.04.2026 Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2
    05.04.2026 Al Ain - Ajman Club 2:0
    22.03.2026 United FC - Al Ain 0:2
    17.03.2026 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Wahda
    23.04.2026 Al-Sharjah - Al-Wahda 0:2
    09.04.2026 Al-Wahda - Ittihad Kalba 2:2
    04.04.2026 Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda 2:2
    17.03.2026 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiBye
    2Al NasrAl Bataeh3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3Dibba Al FujairahAl Sharjah0 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Al AinIttihad Kalba1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5Al WahdaAjman4 : 2, 1 : 1
    6KhorfakkanBani Yas1 : 0, 2 : 2
    7Al JaziraBye
    8Al DhafraAl Wasl2 : 4, 1 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiAl Nasr2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2Al SharjahAl Ain1 : 4, 1 : 3
    3Al WahdaKhorfakkan2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Al JaziraAl Wasl2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Al NasrAl Ain2 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Al WahdaAl Jazira0 : 1, 3 : 0

    Final
    1Al AinAl Wahda0 : 1