Result
1:1
18/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UAE League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-arab-emirates | ADtv |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/578) | 57% (112/197) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/578) | 57% (112/197) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 27% (17/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (84/141) | 49% (33/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (2/32) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Meleke U. 🟨,
- 21', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Jumaa M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sultan S. ↓, Saatci S. ↑,
- 46', Mahdi H. ↓, Ghaedi M. ↑,
- 60', Mohmed A. ↓, Bessa D. ↑,
- 60', Agudelo K. ↓, Abdulbasit M. ↑,
- 60', Petrovic D. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
- 76', Al Zeyoudi A. ↓, Khalil S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Doumbia C. ⚽, Felipe Motta (A),
- 86', Lega S. ↓, Alvaro de Oliveira ↑,
- 88', Muhayer R. 🟨,
- 90', Toure A. ↓, Al Somhi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Nasr 47.9% | Draw 26.5% | Al Bataeh 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Al Bataeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Bataeh than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.8) |
3.48 ↓ (3.64) |
3.6 ↓ (3.84) |
8.7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Al Bataeh will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nasr (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Al Bataeh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Nasr is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Al Bataeh?
Al-Nasr has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Bataeh won against Al-Nasr?
Al Bataeh has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh were as follows:
21.12.2025
Al Bataeh
-
Al-Nasr
2:3
05.09.2025
Al Bataeh
-
Al-Nasr
2:3
30.08.2025
Al-Nasr
-
Al Bataeh
0:0
27.03.2025
Al-Nasr
-
Al Bataeh
0:1
27.10.2024
Al Bataeh
-
Al-Nasr
3:4
Latest results of Al-Nasr
Latest results of Al Bataeh
UAE Football League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ain | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 41:16 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 48:7 | 41 | 49 |
| 3 | Al Jazira | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 37 |
| 4 | Al Wahda | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 34 |
| 5 | Al Wasl | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Al Nasr | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Ajman | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Al Sharjah | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 21 |
| 9 | Ittihad Kalba | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 10 | Bani Yas | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
| 11 | Khorfakkan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:36 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Al Dhafra | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25:42 | -17 | 18 |
| 13 | Al Bataeh | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Division 1