Al Akhdoud vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
0:9
12/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
australiaAustralia10 Play
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruZapping Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainMarca
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.047.30
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
812
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Long passes
40% (19/47)81% (26/32)
Passes in final third
44% (24/54)86% (153/177)
Crosses
20% (1/5)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.32
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
128
Tackles
33% (3/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
3143
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
7.300.04
Goals prevented
-1.700.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Duran J. , Yahya A. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 3, Brozovic M. ,
  • 42', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 4, Mane S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Musona K. , Bassogog C. ,
  • 47', Vitor P. 🟥,
  • 49', Asiri N. , Al Najjar R. ,
  • 52', 0 - 5, Duran J. , Otavio (A),
  • 59', 0 - 6, Mane S. , Yahya A. (A),
  • 60', Otavio , Angelo ,
  • 60', Yahya A. , Wesley ,
  • 64', 0 - 7, Mane S. , Boushal N. (A),
  • 65', Pato , Al Qaydhi M. ,
  • 65', Saviour G. , Al Abbas S. ,
  • 68', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Fatil M. , Aman A. ,
  • 70', Lajami A. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 74', 0 - 8, Mane S. , Boushal N. (A),
  • 76', Mane S. , Marran M. ,
  • 85', Al Zubaidi Y. , Al Jahif M. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 9, Marran M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
18%
Draw
21.1%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 19.6% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 19.6% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.27
    (5.66)
    4.42
    (4.76)
    1.53
    (1.46)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    09.01.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:1
    09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    24.11.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    11.04.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun 1:1
    04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr11005:053
    2Al Ittihad11005:233
    3Al Khaleej11004:133
    4Al Qadisiya11003:123
    5Al Hilal11002:023
    6Al Ettifaq11002:113
    7Al Fayha11002:113
    8Al Ahli SC11001:013
    9Al Hazem10101:101
    10Damac10101:101
    11Al Fateh10011:2-10
    12Al Kholood10011:2-10
    13Neom SC10010:1-10
    14Al Najma10011:3-20
    15Al Riyadh10010:2-20
    16Al Okhdood10012:5-30
    17Al Shabab10011:4-30
    18Al Taawon10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1