Al Akhdoud vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran).

Saudi Professional League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
Asia	GOBX Arabic
Australia	10 Play
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Zapping Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	Marca
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.13	6.12
Ball Possession
25%	75%
Total shots
4	25
Shots on target
1	15
Big Chances
0	8
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
76% (162/213)	94% (608/648)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.13	6.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	7.30
Total shots
4	25
Shots on target
1	15
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	19
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	8
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
4	37
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
76% (162/213)	94% (608/648)
Long passes
40% (19/47)	81% (26/32)
Passes in final third
44% (24/54)	86% (153/177)
Crosses
20% (1/5)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.21	2.32
Throw-ins
11	12
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
33% (3/9)	73% (16/22)
Duels won
31	43
Clearances
20	11
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
7.30	0.04
Goals prevented
-1.70	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 4)
17', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Duran J. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
27', 0 - 3, Brozovic M. ⚽,
42', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 4, Mane S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', Musona K. ↓, Bassogog C. ↑,
47', Vitor P. 🟥,
49', Asiri N. ↓, Al Najjar R. ↑,
52', 0 - 5, Duran J. ⚽, Otavio (A),
59', 0 - 6, Mane S. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
60', Otavio ↓, Angelo ↑,
60', Yahya A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
64', 0 - 7, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
65', Pato ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
65', Saviour G. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
68', Brozovic M. 🟨,
70', Al Fatil M. ↓, Aman A. ↑,
70', Lajami A. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
74', 0 - 8, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
76', Mane S. ↓, Marran M. ↑,
85', Al Zubaidi Y. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 9, Marran M. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Al Akhdoud
18%

Draw
21.1%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

19.6%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

19.6%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↓ (5.66)	4.42 ↓ (4.76)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	6.8% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 79.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
Including home match between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:

09.01.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:1

09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3

24.11.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

01.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun 1:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh

07.05.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 2:3 ✺

30.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale 2:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:4 ✺

22.04.2025 Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	4	4	0	0	14:1	13	12
2	Al Ittihad	4	3	0	1	10:6	4	9
3	Al Taawon	4	3	0	1	8:8	0	9
4	Al Hilal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8
5	Al Ahli SC	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
6	Al Qadisiya	3	2	1	0	7:4	3	7
7	Al Ettifaq	4	2	1	1	6:6	0	7
8	Al Khaleej	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
9	Neom SC	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
10	Al Kholood	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
11	Al Fayha	3	1	1	1	2:4	-2	4
12	Al Shabab	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
13	Al Riyadh	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
14	Al Hazem	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
15	Al Fateh	3	0	1	2	3:6	-3	1
16	Damac	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1
17	Al Najma	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
18	Al Okhdood	4	0	0	4	5:12	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1