Al Akhdoud vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
0:9
12/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
australiaAustralia10 Play
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruZapping Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainMarca
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.136.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.047.30
Total shots
425
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
08
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
812
Passes
76% (162/213)94% (608/648)
Long passes
40% (19/47)81% (26/32)
Passes in final third
44% (24/54)86% (153/177)
Crosses
20% (1/5)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.32
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
128
Tackles
33% (3/9)73% (16/22)
Duels won
3143
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
7.300.04
Goals prevented
-1.700.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Duran J. , Yahya A. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 3, Brozovic M. ,
  • 42', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 4, Mane S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Musona K. , Bassogog C. ,
  • 47', Vitor P. 🟥,
  • 49', Asiri N. , Al Najjar R. ,
  • 52', 0 - 5, Duran J. , Otavio (A),
  • 59', 0 - 6, Mane S. , Yahya A. (A),
  • 60', Otavio , Angelo ,
  • 60', Yahya A. , Wesley ,
  • 64', 0 - 7, Mane S. , Boushal N. (A),
  • 65', Pato , Al Qaydhi M. ,
  • 65', Saviour G. , Al Abbas S. ,
  • 68', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Fatil M. , Aman A. ,
  • 70', Lajami A. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 74', 0 - 8, Mane S. , Boushal N. (A),
  • 76', Mane S. , Marran M. ,
  • 85', Al Zubaidi Y. , Al Jahif M. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 9, Marran M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
18%
Draw
21.1%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 19.6% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 19.6% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.27
    (5.66)
    4.42
    (4.76)
    1.53
    (1.46)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    09.01.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:1
    09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    24.11.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    11.04.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun 1:1
    04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ittihad34265379:354483
    2Al Hilal34236595:415475
    3Al Nassr34217680:384270
    4Al Qadisiya34215853:312268
    5Al Ahli SC34214969:363367
    6Al Shabab341861065:412460
    7Al Ettifaq341481244:45-150
    8Al Taawon341291340:39145
    9Al Kholood341241842:64-2240
    10Al Fateh341161747:61-1439
    11Al Riyadh341081637:52-1538
    12Al Khaleej341071740:57-1737
    13Al Fayha348121427:49-2236
    14Damac34981737:50-1335
    15Al Okhdood34971833:56-2334
    16Al Wehda34961942:67-2533
    17Al Orubah34932231:74-4330
    18Al Raed34632541:66-2521

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