Al-Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh).

: Saudi Professional League - Round 34

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	1.90
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
88% (348/396)	83% (270/324)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	1.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	1.11
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
12	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	6
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
88% (348/396)	83% (270/324)
Long passes
49% (18/37)	56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
80% (93/116)	70% (69/98)
Crosses
6% (1/18)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.22	1.04
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
85% (11/13)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
39	34
Clearances
16	19
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.11	0.27
Goals prevented
0.11	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Toney I. (Pen),
24', Asiri A. 🟨,
45+6', Yaslam S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sulaiman M. ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
49', Selemani F. 🟨,
53', Al Buraikan F. 🟨,
60', Demiral M. 🟨,
62', Veiga G. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
76', Tambakti M. H. ↓, Al Menhali S. ↑,
78', Lega S. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
83', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
89', Zaydan S. ↓, Al Bloushi R. ↑,
90+3', Al Nabit S. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Riyadh
12.4%

Draw
17.7%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

18.3%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.5%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (6.3)	5.32 ↑ (5.1)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	6.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2.
Al-Riyadh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Al-Ahli has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.7:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Al-Riyadh has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Riyadh?

Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:

26.01.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 5:0

25.04.2024 Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:1

05.11.2023 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 3:0

12.03.2023 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 0:2

16.10.2022 Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:2

Latest results of Al-Riyadh

20.05.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh 3:2 ✺

15.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh 1:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah 2:4 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah

22.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 1:3 ✺

17.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Kholood 4:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad	34	26	5	3	79:35	44	83
2	Al Hilal	34	23	6	5	95:41	54	75
3	Al Nassr	34	21	7	6	80:38	42	70
4	Al Qadisiya	34	21	5	8	53:31	22	68
5	Al Ahli SC	34	21	4	9	69:36	33	67
6	Al Shabab	34	18	6	10	65:41	24	60
7	Al Ettifaq	34	14	8	12	44:45	-1	50
8	Al Taawon	34	12	9	13	40:39	1	45
9	Al Kholood	34	12	4	18	42:64	-22	40
10	Al Fateh	34	11	6	17	47:61	-14	39
11	Al Riyadh	34	10	8	16	37:52	-15	38
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	40:57	-17	37
13	Al Fayha	34	8	12	14	27:49	-22	36
14	Damac	34	9	8	17	37:50	-13	35
15	Al Okhdood	34	9	7	18	33:56	-23	34
16	Al Wehda	34	9	6	19	42:67	-25	33
17	Al Orubah	34	9	3	22	31:74	-43	30
18	Al Raed	34	6	3	25	41:66	-25	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
China	ZhiBo8
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now