Result
3:0
30/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (311/388) | 84% (352/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (311/388) | 84% (352/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 64% (30/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/87) | 77% (106/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 3.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Al Obaid A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Zeze N. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
- 30', Harkass J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Al Khaibre A. R. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
- 47', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 62', Naji Y. ↓, Arielson ↑,
- 62', Noor A. ↓, Bouabre S. ↑,
- 71', Rabea H. ↓, David Kaiki ↑,
- 76', Benrahma S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
- 78', Abdi F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, Kone A. ⚽, Bouabre S. (A),
Chances of winning
Neom
64.5% | Draw
21.4% | Damac
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neom that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neom - Damac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.51) |
4.41 ↑
(4.27) |
6.66 ↑
(5.78) |
6.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Neom - Damac?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Damac will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neom: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Neom (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Neom has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Damac has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Neom is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Damac?
Neom has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Neom?
Damac has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Damac were as follows:
14.09.2025
Damac
-
Neom
1:2
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
