Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Neom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
32.7%
Draw
27.4%
Neom
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 28.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 27.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.58)
    3.36
    (3.23)
    2.3
    (2.51)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neom: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Al-Shabab (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 50%). Neom (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
    • Al-Shabab has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Neom has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Latest results of Neom
    10.01.2026 Neom - Al Fateh 0:1
    04.01.2026 Al Hazem - Neom 1:2
    31.12.2025 Neom - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 1:3
    25.12.2025 Neom - Al-Najma 2:1
    23.11.2025 Al-Taawoun - Neom 1:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 31261482:245879
    2Al Hilal30228079:255474
    3Al Ahli SC30216359:223769
    4Al Qadsiah31208374:324268
    5Al Taawon31157957:411652
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC311181240:44-441
    9Al Hazem311081334:53-1938
    10Al Khaleej301071351:48337
    11Al Fayha30981336:46-1035
    12Al Fateh30891338:51-1333
    13Al Shabab307111238:48-1032
    14Al Kholood30931839:58-1930
    15Damac315111527:49-2226
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood31442324:68-4416
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1