Neom vs Al-Taawoun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.240.70
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
76
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Passes
84% (335/399)87% (424/490)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.240.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.271.10
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
88
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2636
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
811
Passes
84% (335/399)87% (424/490)
Long passes
51% (20/39)61% (34/56)
Passes in final third
71% (63/89)74% (107/144)
Crosses
21% (3/14)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.23
Throw ins
922
Fouls
118
Tackles
67% (8/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
4020
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.102.27
Goals prevented
-0.900.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. , Doucoure A. (A),
  • 42', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 63', Flavio 🟨,
  • 68', Petkov M. , Al Kuwaykibi M. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. , El Mahdioui A. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 1, Lacazette A. , Benrahma S. (A),
  • 78', Andrei Girotto 🟨,
  • 79', Messi R. , Al Haji A. ,
  • 81', Lacazette A. 🟨,
  • 85', Benrahma S. , Fallatah A. ,
  • 87', Al Mufarrij M. , Al Alaeli M. ,
  • 87', Biel , Al Qahtani K. ,
  • 89', Fulgini A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Al Kuwaykibi M. , El Mahdioui A. (A),
  • 90+5', Lacazette A. , Abdu A. ,
  • 90+6', Kone A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Neom
38.3%
Draw
27.3%
Al-Taawoun
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 26.4% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Neom - Al-Taawoun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    3.43
    (3.38)
    2.71
    (2.97)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Taawoun?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Neom (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
    • Neom has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Taawoun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Neom has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Al-Taawoun - Neom 1:1
    Latest results of Neom
    07.03.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom 1:0
    28.02.2026 Neom - Al-Kholood 1:2
    25.02.2026 Al-Feiha - Neom 1:1
    21.02.2026 Al-Khaleej - Neom 0:1
    12.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Neom 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Taawoun
    06.03.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh 3:2
    28.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun 1:1
    24.02.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 1:1
    20.02.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al-Feiha 2:3
    12.02.2026 Damac - Al-Taawoun 2:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 30261381:216079
    2Al Hilal30228079:255474
    3Al Ahli SC29206355:223366
    4Al Qadsiah30198371:314065
    5Al Taawon30147952:401249
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC311181240:44-441
    9Al Hazem311081334:53-1938
    10Al Khaleej301071351:48337
    11Al Fayha30981336:46-1035
    12Al Fateh30891338:51-1333
    13Al Shabab297111137:43-632
    14Al Kholood30931839:58-1930
    15Damac315111527:49-2226
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood30442224:64-4016
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1