Result
1:2
27/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/541) | 74% (191/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/541) | 74% (191/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 26% (12/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/128) | 52% (34/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 32% (6/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Diakite D. 🟨,
- 43', Yassine I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 1, Traore A. ⚽,
- 53', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽,
- 55', Yassine I. ↓, Draxler J. ↑,
- 55', Troost-Ekong W. ↓, Mohammed H. ↑,
- 60', Antonucci F. ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
- 63', Gannan S. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
- 63', Mansour H. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
- 72', Exposito E. 🟥,
- 75', El Jemili J. ↓, van Amersfoort P. ↑,
- 75', Diakite D. ↓, Muftah K. ↑,
- 75', Al Wadie M. ↓, Al Emadi O. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Draxler J. ⚽,
- 82', Vlap M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Madjer L. ↓, Abdullah Khalid ↑,
- 90+6', Muftah K. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
47.1% | Draw
26.8% | Al-Shahania
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Al-Shahania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahli Doha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shahania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shahania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.12) |
3.44 ↓
(3.7) |
3.54 ↑
(2.99) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shahania?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 4.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Ahli Doha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Shahania?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shahania won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Shahania has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shahania were as follows:
26.09.2025
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Ahli Doha
1:2
13.05.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Shahania
2:1
04.04.2025
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:3
01.11.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Shahania
2:1
11.10.2024
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Ahli Doha
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Al-Shahania
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
