Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
20/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.003.17
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
136
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Long passes
44% (16/36)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
75% (82/110)79% (99/126)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.191.89
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
613
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (9/21)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.171.00
Goals prevented
-0.830.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shakir B. , Ashabi M. (A),
  • 11', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 12', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Diaby M. , Doumbia M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Fabinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moumouni B. , Mohammed Dawood ,
  • 50', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 58', Roger , Al Ghamdi A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 61', Qasim A. , Jabbar H. ,
  • 68', Ali H. , Farhan A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 4, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 78', Al Julaydan A. , Al Shehri S. ,
  • 78', Aouar H. , Sharahili A. ,
  • 81', Jabbar H. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 85', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 88', Diaby M. , Al Saqour F. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Shorta Baghdad
24.1%
Draw
27.1%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 28.1% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.6% 44%

Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.92
(3.4)
3.48
(3.28)
1.93
(2.06)
5.9%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Shorta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)