Result
1:4
20/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (403/470) | 83% (314/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 3.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (403/470) | 83% (314/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (82/110) | 79% (99/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Shakir B. ⚽, Ashabi M. (A),
- 11', Pereira D. 🟨,
- 12', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Diaby M. ⚽, Doumbia M. (A),
- 29', 1 - 2, Fabinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Moumouni B. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
- 50', Pereira D. 🟨,
- 58', Roger ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 3, Aouar H. ⚽, Diaby M. (A),
- 61', Qasim A. ↓, Jabbar H. ↑,
- 68', Ali H. ↓, Farhan A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 4, Aouar H. ⚽, Diaby M. (A),
- 78', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
- 78', Aouar H. ↓, Sharahili A. ↑,
- 81', Jabbar H. ↓, Abdulkadhim S. ↑,
- 85', Doumbia M. 🟨,
- 88', Diaby M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
24.1% | Draw
27.1% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(3.4) |
3.48 ↑
(3.28) |
1.93 ↓
(2.06) |
5.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Al-Ittihad (votes: 7 - 63.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Al-Shorta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
