Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
20/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.003.17
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
136
Passes
86% (403/470)83% (314/378)
Long passes
44% (16/36)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
75% (82/110)79% (99/126)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.191.89
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
613
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (9/21)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.171.00
Goals prevented
-0.830.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Shakir B. , Ashabi M. (A),
  • 11', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 12', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Diaby M. , Doumbia M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Fabinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Moumouni B. , Mohammed Dawood ,
  • 50', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 58', Roger , Al Ghamdi A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 61', Qasim A. , Jabbar H. ,
  • 68', Ali H. , Farhan A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 4, Aouar H. , Diaby M. (A),
  • 78', Al Julaydan A. , Al Shehri S. ,
  • 78', Aouar H. , Sharahili A. ,
  • 81', Jabbar H. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 85', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 88', Diaby M. , Al Saqour F. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Shorta Baghdad
24.1%
Draw
27.1%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 28.1% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.6% 44%

Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.92
(3.4)
3.48
(3.28)
1.93
(2.06)
5.9%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Shorta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida ✔ 632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 63216:3311
    4Melbourne City ✔ 63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 660015:51018
    2Tractor ✔ 642010:2814
    3Al Ahli SC641117:61113
    4Al Wahda ✔ 641110:5513
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai631211:10110
    6Al Ittihad630311:839
    7Al-Duhail621313:1217
    8Al Sharjah62136:13-77
    9Al-Gharafa62047:12-56
    10Al-Sadd61239:12-35
    11Al Shorta60152:17-151
    12Nasaf Qarshi60066:15-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)