Result
1:3
20/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naft Al-Basra 12.5% | Draw 22.5% | Al-Shorta Baghdad 65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.35 ↑ (5.6) |
4.08 ↑ (3.4) |
1.41 ↓ (1.59) |
9.2% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0.
- Recent performances by Naft Al-Basra have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shorta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Naft Al-Basra won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Naft Al-Basra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Naft Al-Basra?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
08.04.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Naft Al-Basra
3:1
27.06.2024
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Naft Al-Basra
1:0
10.12.2022
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Naft Al-Basra
1:1
Latest results of Naft Al-Basra
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Naft | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Al Minaa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Newroz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Diyala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Al Talaba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Al-Karma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Al Najaf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Al Shorta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Al Zawraa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Erbil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Al Mosul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Al Karkh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Al Gharraf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Al Kahraba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Baghdad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Duhok | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Zakho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Naft Missan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
20 | Al-Qassim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation