Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Abdulkadhim S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Mahmoud A. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Ahmed S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
65.6% | Draw
22.9% | Diyala
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.34) |
3.94 ↓
(4.27) |
7.88 ↓
(8.75) |
10.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - Al-Shorta (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- Al-Shorta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Al-Shorta will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Shorta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Diyala?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala were as follows:
18.05.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Diyala
1:0
26.09.2024
Diyala
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:6
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 49:20 | 29 | 71 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:30 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Erbil | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 45:26 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 43:25 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 44:23 | 21 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Zakho | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37:29 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Newroz | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 41:38 | 3 | 44 |
| 10 | Diyala | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32:34 | -2 | 37 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30:36 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 37:55 | -18 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33:46 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 31 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11:78 | -67 | 3 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
