Result
2:2
12/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/399) | 87% (424/490) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/399) | 87% (424/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 61% (34/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (63/89) | 74% (107/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Doucoure A. (A),
- 42', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', Flavio 🟨,
- 68', Petkov M. ↓, Al Kuwaykibi M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, El Mahdioui A. (A),
- 76', 2 - 1, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
- 78', Andrei Girotto 🟨,
- 79', Messi R. ↓, Al Haji A. ↑,
- 81', Lacazette A. 🟨,
- 85', Benrahma S. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
- 87', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
- 87', Biel ↓, Al Qahtani K. ↑,
- 89', Fulgini A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Al Kuwaykibi M. ⚽, El Mahdioui A. (A),
- 90+5', Lacazette A. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
- 90+6', Kone A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neom
38.3% | Draw
27.3% | Al-Taawoun
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Neom - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.25) |
3.43 ↑
(3.38) |
2.71 ↓
(2.97) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Taawoun?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Neom (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
- Neom has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Taawoun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Neom has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Taawoun?
Neom has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Neom?
Al-Taawoun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
23.11.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Neom
1:1
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
