Result
1:0
12/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (446/526) | 74% (241/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (446/526) | 74% (241/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 19% (10/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (111/160) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Thakri J. ↓, Al Ahmad W. ↑,
- 46', Hazazi A. A. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
- 52', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
- 65', Weigl J. 🟨,
- 76', Retegui M. 🟨,
- 80', Zeze N. 🟨,
- 87', Messi R. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Dawsari K. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Nandez N. ⚽, Al Ahmad W. (A),
- 90+7', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
- 90+7', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Qadisiya
61.6% | Draw
22.2% | Neom
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Al-Qadisiya - Neom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.58) |
4.24 ↓
(4.25) |
5.72 ↑
(4.81) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiya - Neom?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Al-Qadisiya (1.12) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Qadisiya will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Neom (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
- Al-Qadisiya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neom has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Al-Qadisiya is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Al-Qadisiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Neom?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Qadisiya?
Neom has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Neom were as follows:
19.10.2025
Neom
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:3
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
