Al-Wahda Mecca vs Al Jubail – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/12/2025 at 10:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.30
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (345/404)82% (326/397)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.20
Total shots
197
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
85% (345/404)82% (326/397)
Long passes
54% (22/41)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
75% (95/127)71% (72/101)
Crosses
12% (2/17)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.37
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1510
Tackles
77% (10/13)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.201.65
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Fati E. , Fajr F. (A),
  • 11', Al Asmari R. 🟨,
  • 21', Al Muwallad S. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Mbengue A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Majrashi K. , Makeen A. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Diallo D. ,
  • 63', Fajr F. , Hazazi N. ,
  • 70', Mbengue A. , Al Lehiyani S. ,
  • 70', Al Muwashar S. , Majrashi A. ,
  • 73', Thioune O. , Al Mahmoudi M. ,
  • 73', Fati E. , Al Jubaya A. ,
  • 76', Al Reshoodi N. , Al Khaldi N. ,
  • 76', Al Thakrallah E. , Al Shammari M. ,
  • 77', Oladapo A. 🟨,
  • 77', Majrashi A. 🟨,
  • 78', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 79', Makeen A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diallo D. , Khadhari M. ,
  • 90+4', Al Maqadi S. , Al Qahtani S. ,
  • 90+4', Adnan A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Wahda Mecca
69.5%
Draw
19.9%
Al Jubail
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 23.2% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 22.4% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Wahda Mecca's performance.
  • Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Jubail might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Wahda Mecca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Jubail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.53)
    4.58
    (3.94)
    8.54
    (5.33)
    10%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Al-Wahda (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Wahda Mecca will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda Mecca will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Al Jubail (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Al-Wahda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al Jubail is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Al-Wahda Mecca
    20.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:4
    14.12.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Anwar 3:1
    29.11.2025 Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca 2:1
    23.11.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Zulfi 1:1
    07.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2
    Latest results of Al Jubail
    19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    12.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al Jubail 1:0
    28.11.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly 0:1
    22.11.2025 Al Jubail - Abha 0:3
    09.11.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail 1:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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