Motagua vs Alajuelense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF Central American Cup Motagua - Alajuelense
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
78
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1814
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Gomez R. (Pen),
  • 27', Parkins R. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Campbell J. , Hernandez A. (A),
  • 37', John Kleber 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lucumi J. , Campos D. ,
  • 59', Mejia C. , Macias J. ,
  • 66', Nunez J. , Crisanto L. ,
  • 72', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 75', Salazar A. , Bran Flores A. J. ,
  • 75', Cisneros R. , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 84', Gomez R. , Melendez L. ,
  • 85', Serrano J. , Sacaza G. ,
  • 85', John Kleber , Vazquez M. ,
  • 87', Campbell J. 🟨,
  • 88', Hernandez A. , Demetrius T. ,
  • 89', Pinar F. , Quesada E. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Campos D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motagua
32.9%
Draw
32.6%
Alajuelense
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 40.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 39.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Motagua - Alajuelense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (3.03)
    2.85
    (2.29)
    2.69
    (3.09)
    7.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Motagua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alajuelense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Alajuelense has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Alajuelense were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Alajuelense - Motagua 0:1
    31.08.2023 Alajuelense - Motagua 5:1
    Latest results of Motagua
    23.09.2025 Alajuelense - Motagua 0:1
    20.09.2025 Motagua - Juticalpa 0:0
    17.09.2025 Platense - Motagua 1:2
    13.09.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 3:3
    10.09.2025 Choloma - Motagua 0:3
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    23.09.2025 Alajuelense - Motagua 0:1
    20.09.2025 Guadalupe - Alajuelense 0:0
    16.09.2025 Alajuelense - San Carlos 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Miguelito (4)Xelaju (5)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Plaza Amador (1)Real Espana (8)1 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Olimpia (2)Cartagines (7)3 : 1, 2 : 1
    4Motagua (3)Alajuelense (6)1 : 2, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Xelaju (5)Real Espana (8)
    2Olimpia (2)Alajuelense (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2