Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 34
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/470) | 82% (305/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/470) | 82% (305/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 59% (43/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 72% (68/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Attamah J. (Own goal),
- 44', Kayra Yilmaz K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jeanvier J. ↓, Bourabia M. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Civelek R. ⚽,
- 68', Hosseini M. 🟨,
- 68', Sariarslan T. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
- 72', Richard 🟨,
- 74', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 80', Civelek R. ↓, Gezek B. A. ↑,
- 81', Kayra Yilmaz K. ↓, Uzodimma A. ↑,
- 90+1', Karimi A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cardoso M. ↓, Kaldirim H. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
42.8% | Draw
28.1% | Kayserispor
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alanyaspor - Kayserispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.42) |
3.38 ↓
(4.22) |
3.25 ↑
(2.52) |
5.7%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Kayserispor?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 3.
- Alanyaspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kayserispor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alanyaspor could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
Ozdemir Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Bahoken S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kocaman A.
(Injury)
Nazon D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Kolovetsios D.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:8. (average 3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kayserispor?
Alanyaspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Alanyaspor?
Kayserispor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
08.12.2024
Kayserispor
-
Alanyaspor
2:0
16.03.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Kayserispor
1:0
06.11.2023
Kayserispor
-
Alanyaspor
1:0
20.05.2023
Kayserispor
-
Alanyaspor
0:4
28.12.2022
Alanyaspor
-
Kayserispor
3:1
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Kayserispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
