Result
5:0
18/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/307) | 84% (391/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/307) | 84% (391/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 55% (35/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 60% (55/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -3.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', Linetty K. 🟨,
- 25', Keita H. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Hadergjonaj F. ⚽, Janvier N. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Churlinov D. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
- 46', Linetty K. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
- 59', Nonge J. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 0, Lima N. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
- 68', Hagi I. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 70', Dursun S. ↓, Ozyar A. ↑,
- 77', Mounie S. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 77', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 79', Keita H. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 0, Kaya I. ⚽, Hwang Ui-Jo (A),
- 84', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 84', Makouta G. ↓, Aksoy F. ↑,
- 87', Agyei D. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
- 88', 5 - 0, Janvier N. ⚽, Kaya I. (A),
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
48.1% | Draw
29.1% | Kocaelispor
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.27) |
3.24 ↓
(3.38) |
4.16 ↑
(3.1) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 27.9% – 64.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Kocaelispor (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Kocaelispor (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kocaelispor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alanyaspor might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
Oguz A.
(Yellow Cards)
Show
(Yellow Cards)
Susoho M.
(Injury)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Maestro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Alanyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kocaelispor?
Alanyaspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Alanyaspor?
Kocaelispor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
25.10.2025
Kocaelispor
-
Alanyaspor
2:0
05.12.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kocaelispor
1:0
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
