Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 23
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/375) | 84% (346/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/375) | 84% (346/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 53% (23/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (75/104) | 69% (77/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Mihaila V. ⚽, Mebude A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Haidara M. 🟨,
- 53', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 56', Balogh B. ↓, Dijksteel A. ↑,
- 57', Haidara M. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Akaydin S. ⚽, Laci Q. (A),
- 62', Churlinov D. 🟨,
- 69', Petkovic B. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 71', Mihaila V. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 81', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 82', Mebude A. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 83', Show ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 83', Rivas R. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
- 88', Olawoyin I. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
- 88', Akaydin S. ↓, Mocsi A. ↑,
- 90+4', Augusto L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Çaykur Rizespor
40.8% | Draw
29.7% | Kocaelispor
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.51) |
3.16 ↓
(3.36) |
3.18 ↑
(2.75) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Kocaelispor (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Rizespor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Rizespor (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Kocaelispor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Kocaelispor (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K.
(Injury)
Papanikolaou G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rizespor: Augusto L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
Susoho M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rizespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Çaykur Rizespor won against Kocaelispor?
Çaykur Rizespor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Çaykur Rizespor?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
21.09.2025
Kocaelispor
-
Çaykur Rizespor
1:1
Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 72:23 | 49 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 68:33 | 35 | 67 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 58:34 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52:31 | 21 | 51 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
