Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (198/277) | 85% (447/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (198/277) | 85% (447/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 70% (62/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/92) | 68% (99/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.80 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ozdemir Y. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
- 27', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 32', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 42', Hwang Ui-Jo 🟨,
- 45+1', Vilhena T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Lima N. 🟨,
- 55', Holse C. (Pen),
- 58', Aliti F. 🟨,
- 64', Richard 🟨,
- 65', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Makouta G. ↑,
- 67', Yavru Z. 🟨,
- 75', Yavru Z. ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
- 75', Tait F. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 75', Kilinc E. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 75', Vilhena T. ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 77', Holse C. 🟨,
- 82', Holse C. ↓, Ozbaskici M. ↑,
- 84', Hadergjonaj F. ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 85', Janvier N. ↓, Balkovec J. ↑,
- 87', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
38.1% | Draw
30% | Samsunspor
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alanyaspor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(3) |
3.13 ↓
(4.14) |
2.97 ↑
(2.12) |
5.9%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 1.
- Alanyaspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Samsunspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alanyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Ait Bennasser Y.
(Injury)
Bola M.
(Injury)
Yuksel C.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:23 (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Alanyaspor?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
24.11.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
18.05.2024
Samsunspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
17.01.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
1:3
25.12.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
