Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (428/489) | 79% (279/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (428/489) | 79% (279/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (56/88) | 64% (42/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Hagi I. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, Kaya I. ⚽, Lima N. (A),
- 43', Kaya I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bayo M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
- 52', Camara D. ↓, Rodrigues K. ↑,
- 61', Hadergjonaj F. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Rodrigues K. (A),
- 69', Yalcin G. ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 70', Janvier N. ↓, Maestro ↑,
- 76', Perez L. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
- 76', Kizildag A. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
- 80', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
- 81', Rodrigues K. 🟨,
- 82', Makouta G. ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
- 82', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 89', Lungoyi C. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
- 90+6', Karaca E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gaziantep
33.9% | Draw
27.8% | Alanyaspor
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Gaziantep - Alanyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(2.86) |
3.4 ↓
(3.43) |
2.47 ↑
(2.34) |
5.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Alanyaspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Alanyaspor (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Alanyaspor (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alanyaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
Dragus D.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigues K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Maestro
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Alanyaspor?
Gaziantep has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Gaziantep?
Alanyaspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Alanyaspor were as follows:
03.11.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Gaziantep
0:0
09.05.2025
Gaziantep
-
Alanyaspor
0:1
14.12.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Gaziantep
3:0
02.04.2024
Gaziantep
-
Alanyaspor
0:3
11.11.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Gaziantep
0:3
Latest results of Gaziantep
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
