Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League
Football Turkish Super League Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor
Result
4:3
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.392.11
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
87% (392/451)88% (396/452)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.392.11
xG on target (xGOT)
4.232.42
Total shots
158
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
87% (392/451)88% (396/452)
Long passes
67% (41/61)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
72% (83/115)73% (63/86)
Crosses
11% (1/9)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.27
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
1110
Tackles
60% (6/10)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
2020
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
2.424.23
Goals prevented
-0.580.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 2)
  • 3', Ozdemir Y. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Zubkov O. ⚽,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Sikan D. ⚽,
  • 27', 2 - 1, Cordova S. ⚽,
  • 38', 3 - 1, Sikan D. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 2, Hadergjonaj F. (Pen),
  • 45+2', Malheiro P. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Janvier N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 4 - 2, Banza S. ⚽, Sikan D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Mendy B. 🟨,
  • 52', 4 - 3, Sporar A. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
  • 59', Batagov A. 🟨,
  • 68', Vilhena T. 🟨,
  • 71', Sikan D. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
  • 71', Mendy B. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
  • 75', Vilhena T. ↓, Makouta G. ↑,
  • 80', Eskihellac M. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
  • 83', Richard ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
  • 89', Zubkov O. ↓, Canak C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Trabzonspor
55.8%		Draw
24.7%		Alanyaspor
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 23.2% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 22.6% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.82 ↓
    (4.12)    		 4.85 ↓
    (4.95)    		 5.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 28.1% – 78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 3.
    • Trabzonspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alanyaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Trabzonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Trabzonspor is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Cevikkan O. (Finger Injury) Dragus D. (Muscle Injury) Saatci S. (Injury) Turkmen H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Aliti F. (Yellow Cards) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Hwang Ui-Jo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Eskihellac M. (Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Hadergjonaj F. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Trabzonspor to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:29 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trabzonspor won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor 3:0
    30.11.2024 Alanyaspor - Trabzonspor 2:1
    04.03.2024 Alanyaspor - Trabzonspor 3:1
    23.10.2023 Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor 1:0
    03.06.2023 Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor 5:1
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    24.04.2025 Trabzonspor - Göztepe 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Adana Demirspor - Trabzonspor 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 4:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    21.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Bodrumspor 0:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 1:2 ✺
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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