Leioa vs Alavés C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
44.2%
Draw
29.1%
Alavés C
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 28% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 26.5% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leioa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Leioa - Alavés C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.92)
    3.12
    (3.27)
    3.4
    (3.74)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • Leioa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alavés C has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leioa could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Alavés C were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Alavés C - Leioa 0:1
    16.11.2024 Leioa - Alavés C 1:0
    23.03.2024 Leioa - Alavés C 2:2
    04.11.2023 Alavés C - Leioa 0:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    14.03.2026 Leioa - Zarautz KE 3:1
    07.03.2026 Leioa - Eibar C 1:1
    28.02.2026 Añorga - Leioa 0:1
    21.02.2026 Leioa - Durango 2:1
    Latest results of Alavés C
    21.03.2026 Alavés C - Eibar C 3:1
    14.03.2026 Añorga - Alavés C 2:0
    08.03.2026 Alavés C - Durango 3:1
    01.03.2026 Aretxabaleta - Alavés C 3:1
    22.02.2026 Alavés C - Zamudio 5:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa30166842:281454
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Derio301461047:361148
    7Alaves C30138951:341747
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation