Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Añorga
22.1% | Draw
28.6% | Leioa
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Añorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Añorga's form might have worsened.Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Añorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Añorga - Leioa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(3.27) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
1.85 ↓
(2.13) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Añorga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leioa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Leioa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Añorga won against Leioa?
Añorga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Añorga?
Leioa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Añorga - Leioa were as follows:
18.10.2025
Leioa
-
Añorga
7:1
27.03.2024
Añorga
-
Leioa
0:1
11.11.2023
Leioa
-
Añorga
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
