Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	0.99
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
87% (565/649)	81% (320/397)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.21	0.52
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
37	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	4
Passes
87% (565/649)	81% (320/397)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	27% (12/44)
Passes in final third
80% (175/220)	70% (70/100)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.56	0.84
Throw-ins
27	14
Fouls
4	11
Tackles
76% (13/17)	73% (16/22)
Duels won
65	45
Clearances
10	39
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.52	2.21
Goals prevented
-1.48	-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Arai T. ⚽, Shimamura T. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Usami T. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Okumura J. ⚽, Hasegawa M. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Welton ⚽, Hummet D. (A),
61', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Abe S. ⚽,
67', Okumura J. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
67', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
75', 4 - 2, Hummet D. ⚽,
76', Mitsuta M. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
80', Arai T. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
80', Hasegawa M. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
83', Usami T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
83', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
83', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
58.8%

Draw
22.7%

Albirex Niigata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	4.14 ↑ (3.88)	5.13 ↑ (4.68)	5.6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Gamba Osaka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Niigata has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is the team to beat.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Albirex Niigata?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Gamba Osaka?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3

30.11.2024 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 0:1

02.03.2024 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:0

17.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:1

28.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 1:3

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

23.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Eastern AA 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:5 ✺

23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	32	17	8	7	56:34	22	59
4	Kashiwa Reysol	32	15	12	5	47:33	14	57
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	32	14	10	8	59:44	15	52
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	32	11	10	11	49:47	2	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	32	11	7	14	35:45	-10	40
14	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
15	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
16	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	32	8	7	17	32:43	-11	31
18	Yokohama FC	32	8	7	17	21:36	-15	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League