Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata
Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.99
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (565/649)81% (320/397)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.52
Total shots
167
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
114
Passes
87% (565/649)81% (320/397)
Long passes
39% (17/44)27% (12/44)
Passes in final third
80% (175/220)70% (70/100)
Crosses
38% (6/16)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.84
Throw-ins
2714
Fouls
411
Tackles
76% (13/17)73% (16/22)
Duels won
6545
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.522.21
Goals prevented
-1.48-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Arai T. , Shimamura T. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Usami T. , Yamashita R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Okumura J. , Hasegawa M. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 2, Welton , Hummet D. (A),
  • 61', Yamashita R. , Juan Alano ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ohara M. ,
  • 64', 3 - 2, Abe S. ,
  • 67', Okumura J. , Boudah A. ,
  • 67', Shimamura T. , Moraes ,
  • 75', 4 - 2, Hummet D. ,
  • 76', Mitsuta M. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 80', Arai T. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 80', Hasegawa M. , Wakatsuki Y. ,
  • 83', Usami T. , Mito R. ,
  • 83', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,
  • 83', Welton , Okunuki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
58.8%
Draw
22.7%
Albirex Niigata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.2% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 23.1% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.69)
    4.14
    (3.88)
    5.13
    (4.68)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Niigata has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Gamba Osaka is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3
    30.11.2024 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    02.03.2024 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    17.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    28.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 1:3
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    13Verdy351191522:36-1442
    14Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League