Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (613/698) | 79% (363/461) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 4.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (613/698) | 79% (363/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.55 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. ⚽, Ono Y. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Mito R. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 66', Ono Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
- 70', Juan Alano ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 70', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Okumura J. ⚽, Hashimoto K. (A),
- 80', Kurata S. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Yamura K. ⚽, Komi Y. (A),
- 89', Chiba K. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
- 90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Usami T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
37.3% | Draw
29% | Gamba Osaka
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Albirex Niigata have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.52) |
3.22 ↓
(3.3) |
2.78 ↑
(2.74) |
6.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:28 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Gamba Osaka?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Albirex Niigata?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
30.11.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
02.03.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
17.09.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
28.05.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Gamba Osaka
1:3
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
