Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 2.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
88% (613/698) | 79% (363/461) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 2.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.62 | 4.55 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 28 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
88% (613/698) | 79% (363/461) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (24/46) | 31% (15/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (99/140) | 70% (79/113) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 7% (1/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 1.39 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 60% (15/25) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.55 | 1.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.55 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. ⚽, Ono Y. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Mito R. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 66', Ono Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
- 70', Juan Alano ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 70', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Okumura J. ⚽, Hashimoto K. (A),
- 80', Kurata S. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Yamura K. ⚽, Komi Y. (A),
- 89', Chiba K. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
- 90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Usami T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata 37.3% | Draw 29% | Gamba Osaka 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Albirex Niigata have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.52) |
3.22 ↓ (3.3) |
2.78 ↑ (2.74) |
6.4% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:28 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Gamba Osaka?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Albirex Niigata?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
30.11.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
02.03.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
17.09.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
28.05.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Gamba Osaka
1:3
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League