Result
3:1
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/501) | 82% (339/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/501) | 82% (339/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/168) | 72% (96/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', Yuri Araujo ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
- 58', Onaiwu G. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
- 58', Suzuki T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 58', Yamashita R. ↓, Welton ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Amano J. ⚽,
- 66', 1 - 1, Mitsuta M. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
- 69', Yamane R. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
- 73', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
- 73', Suzuki T. ↓, Tsunoda R. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Usami T. ⚽,
- 85', Juan Alano ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 85', Usami T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 86', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 90+1', Deng T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
57.1% | Draw
23% | Yokohama F. Marinos
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamba Osaka's performance.Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4%)
Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.82) |
4.11 ↑
(3.88) |
4.75 ↑
(3.89) |
5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Gamba Osaka (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gamba Osaka will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Gamba Osaka?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
16.03.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Gamba Osaka
2:0
27.10.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Gamba Osaka
2:3
06.07.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
4:0
10.04.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Gamba Osaka
2:0
12.08.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Gamba Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
